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2001: a Space
Odyssey: On Space
Station V, Dr. Heywood Floyd has a moment to spare before catching
the Aries shuttle to
Clavius Moon colony, so he does
what any father travelling on business does. He phones home.
But this isn't one of those dial the operator and ask to reverse the
charges affairs. Floyd rings from a hands-free videophone that
has a twenty-inch colour display and takes credit cards.
Cost: $1.75 for five minutes–and from Earth orbit, too.
Yes, it looked as though by 2001 the videophone would be well
established.
Or would it?
For almost a century, the
path of history has been strewn with scheme after scheme to unite
television with the telephone and each one fell flatter than my wallet at the end of the
month. What happened? Why hasn't the videophone caught on? What is the
elusive element that has denied success?
Let's look at one famous attempt by a company to
breach the walls of tomorrow.
At the 1964 New York World's Fair, AT&T revealed
something that was not only a breakthrough in
telepresence solutions, but
an exercise in butt-clenching awkwardness as well. I give you
the picturephone!
This modern marvel was the first serious attempt to
market a videophone as a consumer good aimed at the mass market and
AT&T put everything they had behind their efforts to develop and
market it. Not that they had an easy time even with all the
resources of one of America's most powerful corporations to draw on.
In the '60s, there was nothing like the Internet and
the digital revolution hadn't even reached the gestational stage, let
alone infancy. To seamlessly integrate the picturephone into the
existing network meant using ordinary phone lines, which it did.
Three of them instead of the usual two. And it required special
switches to be installed at the local television exchange. Even
if all that is taken care of, the engineers faced the congealed fat of
the telecommunications age: Bandwidth. A television signal uses
333 times as much bandwidth as a voice channel, which meant that at
best the picturephone was relegated to small viewing screens–and
black and white only, of course.
Despite
these limitations AT&T was sure that it was on to a winner and
confidently predicted having three million picture phones generating
$5 million in revenues by the 1980s. To help ensure this, they
embarked on an aggressive marketing campaign that included making the
picturephone the centrepiece of their pavilion at that marketplace of
the future; the 1964 New York World's Fair. There fair visitors
were invited to step into a booth and chat over the picturephone with
equally bewildered visitors at Disneyland in Anaheim, California.
Yes, there is nothing like combining the excitement of new technology
with the howling mortification of having to wrack your brains to carry
on a conversation while cold sober with total strangers on the other
side of the continent.
And just to make sure that the experience was truly unpleasant,
the visitors were made to fill out a survey questionnaire afterwards.
The results were less than sterling. People were impressed by
the technology, but they didn't like the picturephone. The
controls were too confusing and the picture too small.
But it had touchtone!
So,
AT&T went back to the drawing board for another four years and in 1970
rolled out the new and improved picturephone. This time they
didn't just exhibit it; they put it out for the customers. At
least, they did in New York and Chicago. It isn't easy to find
the words to describe how well the picturephone did, but the phrase
"lead balloon" comes fairly close.
The picturephone was a disaster. People queued in droves to
avoid buying it. What happened? Part of the reason was the
cost. Picturephone was not cheap: $125 per month plus $21 per
minute. Also, there was the problem of how you use a
picturephone when you're one of the very few people who have one.
Without a compelling reason to think that people were going to sign up
for picturephones real quick you're faced with the reality that
there's a whole lot of nobody to talk to out there.
Whatever the reasons, the picturephone limped along briefly and then
was quietly pulled at a loss of $1 billion.
What's really curious is that we now have videophone technology that
is so cheap that anyone with a computer can set one up for a few quid
and yet hardly anyone does. Certainly, videoconferencing has
become big business, but not that big, and the home market is
non-existent.
Why?
Having worked with
videophone systems myself, and having answered the phone first thing
in the morning after being up all night with a cranky baby, no tea, unshaven, and
generally looking like hell, I can attest to what the missing factors
are:
1) People really do not want that much intimate contact and 2) Videophones are a
pain.
Never mind that cameras are incredibly difficult
beasts to work with outside of a studio environment. The thought
of having even my closest friends seeing me before I'm caffeinated
doesn't bear thinking about.
At work, it's just about as bad. Whenever I've
been in a videoconference, the camera was a thing to be dreaded rather
than welcomed. Most people switch off the picture because it's
distracting. You have no idea if anyone is looking at your
image, so you have to sit rigidly in camera focus, making it bloody hard to switch on
the speakerphone so you can ignore
the whole thing and work on the report that's due at the end of
the day.
Small wonder that more often than not I see
expensive videoconferencing rigs gathering dust in favour of
speakerphones and application sharing systems.
Gives it that nice, impersonal touch. |